Mamata-Gogoi-Jaya sweep, Cong steals Kerala

Assam Chief Minister and Congress party leader Tarun Gogoi waves to supporters after election results were declared in Guwahati on May 13. (AP Photo)

New Delhi, May 13 (AGENCIES): The people of India have spoken, as they always do on voting day. They may squirm under the mis-governance of the governments they elect in good faith, they may rage at the corruption, nepotism and misdeeds of their elected representatives, they may appear helpless in the face of the might of the bureaucratic machinery. But when it comes to asserting their right as voters, they speak loud and clear. As the results from the states of West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Assam - and the Union Territory of Pondicherry - reveal, their choices is unequivocal.

So is the statement behind the ballot. Deliver, or perish. Conversely, perform and be rewarded. No more of unconditional affiliation or ideology-based support.
Thus, there is a clear message in the overwhelming majorities that they have handed to Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress combine in West Bengal, and to Jayalalithaa’s AIADMk alliance in Trinamool. In Bengal, the Left - ousted after 34 years - has been unceremoniously ejected as soon as a credible option appeared to the people. Disenchantment with its increasingly autocratic mode of governance, coupled with a trigger-happy set of arrogant administrators who did not baulk at issuing orders to shoot people down, had long been growing in the state. But with this election, the people have announced loudly that they believe Mamata Banerjee can extricate them. The message is as much for Banerjee as it is for those punished.
The punishment has been strong and swift. Starting with outgoing Chief Minister Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee, a number of stalwarts - among them Finance Minister Ashim Dasgupta. Housing Minister Gautam Deb, Industries Minister Nirupam Sen, former education Minister Kanti Ganguly - are all trailing. Even in Left strongholds across the state, its candidates have been shown the door, with the Trinamool alliance virtually sweeping all pockets of West Bengal. With 226 leads versus 63, Mamata Banerjee’s victory is overwhelming. It is hard to believe that the people of Bengal could not have known they were creating history in ringing out the old.
In Tamil Nadu, the AIADMK’s Jayalalithaa has won a similar victory. A bigger triumph even than Mamata’s in numerical terms, with 201 leads out of 234 seats - versus the DMK’s 33 - it represents the electorate’s strong desire to see the DMK’s Karunanidhi Administration go. While Tamil Nadu has not been subjected to the domination of a single political force the way West Bengal has been, the huge margin suggests that there were overwhelming reasons for change. The margins show that people were not caught in two minds, with a small percentage of voters deciding the outcome.
Here, too, top DMK leaders are likely to bite the dust. Among the DMK bigwigs who were trailing, the most significant name is that of Trichy district secretary and party strong-man K N Nehru.
Nehru was trailing his AIADMK rival by over 1500 votes at 12.07 pm in the fight for Tiruchirappalli West. In the fray to represent Villupuram constituency, K.Ponmudy, Higher Education Minister in the outgoing DMK government and a prominent businessman, is also trailing by over 1,000 votes. Health Minister MRK Paneerselvam, who garnered headlines for the scandal that broke over the sale of expired medicines, is also trailing from Kurinjipadi constituency by over 2000 votes.
Finance minister K Anbazhagan was also trailing by almost 4,000 votes from Villivakkam.Agriculture minister Veerapandi Arumugam, contesting from Sankari constituency, was trailing by over 10,000 votes. All these leaders were also district secretaries of the party and promoted nepotism. Most also used political clout to build up their businesses. The voters’ message is obviously the same as in West Bengal.
Like in these two states, the Congress’s share of 80 leads out of 126 - for which much of the credit must go to chief minister Tarun Gogoi’s achievements - has a definitive story to tell. The vote here is for development and peace - both of which Gogoi has delivered. By contrast, the Opposition’s agenda was perceived as one likely to disrupt and destroy this hard-earned stability in daily life. As a result, it was rejected with a vehemence similar to the one with which the electorate voted out the incumbents in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu.
As for Kerala, the UDF secured a simple majority on the narrowest of margins, with the LDF conceding defeat. The UDF won 72 seats compared to LDF 68 in the 140-member Assembly. With 46 per cent of votes going to the UDF, versus 45 per cent to the LDF, there is a palpable break with the past in terms of clearly opting for one force or the other. The message here is clear too: old rules no longer hold.
 
HAT-TRICK: GOGOI TO BE CM FOR 3RD TIME
 
Guwahati | May 13 : The Congress beat the anti-incumbency factor to register a hat-trick of electoral victory in Assam. Principal rival Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and its prospective ally BJP, on the other hand, bit the dust.
Led by the charismatic Tarun Gogoi, the Congress performed beyond expectations to win 78 seats in the 126-member Assam assembly, 25 more than in 2006. The score in Verdict 2011 is way above the magical mark of 64.
Congress wins big in Assam, AGP-BJP routed
The AGP fell by the wayside, winning only 10 seats, 14 less than in 2006. The biggest blow to it was the loss of its president Chandra Mohan Patowary (Dharmapur seat) who was instrumental in reuniting all the factions in October 2008 and bringing back former CM Prafulla Kumar Mahanta to the forefront.
The pro-migrant All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) led by perfume baron Badruddin Ajmal won eight seats more than the 10 in 2006 but the clear mandate for Congress robbed it of its sheen. Ajmal was seen as the kingmaker in the event of a split verdict, with both Congress and AGP keen on his party’s support. But his party’s improvement over 2006 put him firmly as a non-Congress minority leader to turn to.
The setback, though, was more for BJP for which Assam was the best bet among the five states and UTs that went to polls together. The saffron party managed only five seats and among the losers was its state unit president Ranjit Dutta (Bihali seat).
“I had predicted a thumping win. The result has proved me right,” said chief minister Tarun Gogoi, who had earlier claimed to be the best CM Assam ever produced. “The people have voted for peace and development.”
Gogoi had been firm about ensuring peace and law and order. “Peace will automatically attract investors and usher in development,” he had said earlier. The chief minister said his party would continue with its alliance with Bodoland People’s Front – it won 12 seats – despite securing majority.
Mandate 2011 was the AGP’s best chance to redeem itself. But it appears that its past – saga of ‘secret killings’, economic crisis, failure to pay employees on time, etc – caught up with it. The decision to part ways with the BJP and warm up to the AIUDF – indigenous Assamese, AGP’s traditional voters, dread the idea of letting migrants become their political masters – also played a part in their defeat.
The AGP also could not capitalize on the activism of the pro-farmer and anti-dam RTI activist Akhil Gogoi, who spared no chance to criticize the Congress. His campaigns, allegedly backed by the AGP, eventually ended up as anti-Congress and anti-Tarun Gogoi tirades. < br />“For the BJP, focus on ‘national level’ politics failed to gel with the voters who were more interested in local issues,” said political analyst Utpal Baruah.
Rajiv Bhavan, the Congress headquarters here, exulted in celebration after the results poured in. Many of the celebrators were youths, rejoicing the victory of a number of young leaders – seven handpicked by Rahul Gandhi won comfortably.  “There’s absolutely no doubt that Tarun Gogoi will be the chief minister again, but we have a formality of letting the High Command take this decision,” said a senior PCC leader.