Slight surge in COVID cases but recovery improves

No doubling since Aug first week

Morung Express News
Dimapur | September 5

Nagaland witnessed a slight surge in COVID-19 cases the past week. The weekly case trend analysis published by the state Integrated Disease Surveillance Programme, Department of Health & Family Welfare, tipped the increase in case detection in the one-week period, since the last analysis, at 7.9 percent.  In absolute numbers, it translated into 302 cases as compared to 186 cases the week before.

5,246 samples were tested the past week returning a positivity rate of 5.7 percent. For comparison, a total of 5,126 samples were tested the week before with a positivity rate of 5.7 percent. 

The sum total of tests for the state, as on September 4, stood at 64,092 samples— RT PCR-39,453, TrueNat- 23,785 and Antigen Test- 854.  The state’s positivity rate, as on September 4, was 6.41 percent against the country’s 8.25 percent.  

Meanwhile, recovery rate improved to 81.5 percent from 75 percent and with 8 confirmed deaths, mortality rate stood at 0.19 percent. The first COVID death in the state was reported on July 21. 

The report added that 5 deaths were under investigation in Dimapur by the state death review committee to determine the cause of death.

The country’s current recovery rate stands at a little over 77 percent and mortality at 1.74 percent. 

In terms of test rate, Nagaland trailed the national average by almost 6 percentage points. As on September 4, the state was conducting 29.5 tests per thousand against the country’s 35.4 tests per thousand people. 

No doubling
It has been almost a month since the last doubling of cases. The last doubling was recorded on August 7 when the total cases jumped to 3322 from 1693 cases on July 31. The month of August reported, on average, 25 cases a day. 

Bed occupancy
Bed occupancy in the COVID Hospitals across Nagaland, on September 5, was 7 percent and 24 percent in the COVID Care Centres. The number of active cases under Home Isolation was 38. The bed occupancy data came with the disclaimer, “Military, paramilitary centres and non-Covid hospitals are not included.”

Case distribution
At 42 percent, the armed forces continued to lead in terms of case contribution, followed by returnees- 32 percent, traced contacts- 19 percent (previously 18 percent) and frontline workers- 7 percent.  

Age-wise, the most affected age group is 26-35 years at 36 percent (1,460 out of 4107) followed by 16-25 years at 25 percent (1,023 out of 4,107). 

Cases with co-morbidity comprised 17 of the 4107 total cases detected as on September 4. 

It added, “Since most cases are in the healthy 18-44 age group, most cases are asymptomatic (99 percent), while cautioning, “But this group has the potential to spread the disease since they are the most mobile age group, especially with the new relaxations under Unlock 4.” 

The median age of the cases was worked out at 32 years as it was the week before. The youngest has been a 1-month old and the oldest— a 93 year-old. Gender-wise, 82 percent of the cases were male. 

A total of 17,242 contacts have been traced, of which 6,077 were primary contacts.